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Saturday, January 10, 2004


BA Top 10 Prospects 


1. Dioner Navarro
2. Eric Duncan
3. Rudy Guillen
4. Joaquin Arias
5. Ramon Ramirez
6. Robinson Cano
7. Ferdin Tejeda
8. Jorge DePaula aka Julio DePaula
9. Estee Harris
10. Bronson Sardinha

由於 BA 的文章只限訂閱者閱覽,所以我只把名單列出來。

今年名單跟去年大不相同。第一名的 Juan Rivera 和 第三名的 Brandon Claussen 都被交易出去了,Juan Rivera 也失去了 rookie 資格。第四名的 Drew Henson、第五名的王建民、第七名的 Danny Borrell 以及第十名的 Sean Henn掉出去了前十名榜單。Drew Henson 在 AAA 已經累積了有 1,224 AB,大概沒有什麼希望了。王建民由於去年從 Short A 直接跳上 AA,不管在全年的投球局數和競爭對手上都有相當大的跳躍,成績不夠理想難免,他還需要時間來調整,不過步伐得快一點了。Danny Borrell 和 Sean Henn 都是因為傷後復健進度不夠理想所以掉出前十名。Borrell 其實在成長上還不算太糟,Boyd 說如果他健康的話可以進入前十名,就算是現在也還很接近。Sean Henn 的情況則不然,他在 Tommy John 之後復原進度緩慢(不跟 Brandon Claussen 那個變態快的復原進度比較也還是慢),使得他的 breaking ball 的養成嚴重落後,更糟的是 fastball 也掉了不少速度,前景看來不太樂觀。第二名的 Bronson Sardinha 由於進步緩慢所以掉到了今年的第十,Robinson Cano 和 Jorge DePaula 跟去年名次一樣,只有 DePaula 的名字換了。Rudy Guillen 是去年的第九,排名往上的原因與其說是過去這一年有很大的進步,不如說是 Yankees 的農場空虛。Guillen 的 upside 很好,而且他目前還是可以守中外野的 prospect,這是他排名往前的主要原因。

這份名單是 Josh Boyd 排的,他是 BA 相當出色的作家。在 BA 的網站上還有一部份關於 Top 10 Prospect 的討論,由 Josh Boyd 親自回答讀者的問題,相當值得一讀,而且不需要是訂戶也可以瀏覽。

節錄幾段有趣的文字:

Q: Vince Vega from Brooklyn, NY asks:
Callis says its 'the truth' that Boston's system is better. Is this wishful thinking like last year or has NY gotten that bad?


A: Josh Boyd: Jim's a liar.

Q: Mike Marinaro - wish I had a Gino's East Pizza from Tampa, FL asks:
Where will Wang wind (pun and alliteration intended) up in the Bronx: slot 1,2,3,4, or 5?


A: Josh Boyd: Never been to Gino's Pizza, but I'm starving and could go for some Pick Up Stix right now. Wang is more of a back of the rotation guy for me. He needs to be more aggressive with his four-seam fastball and go after hitters. His velocity was up and down for most of the season and the Yanks are trying to get him out of the habit of trying to fool hitters instead of pitching to contact.

Q: Ben Delbanco from New York, NY asks:
Hey Josh, Is Chien-Ming Wang a bust? To not even make the top 10 in a system as weak as the Yankees' is not terribly promising.


A: Josh Boyd: Tons of Chien-Ming Wang questions today. I may be in the minority here, but the top 10 isn't as weak as many people think. I think a lot of that has to do with the fact these guys are predominantely Latin and not as well known (track record, draft status, etc) but they have high upside and are highly regarded outside of the organization--not just Yankees hype. I commented on Wang earlier, but he's certainly not a bust. He has four pitches and a strong arm. He made a two-level jump last year, so some growing pains were expected.

Enjoy the rest.

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